Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-13 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 66.61%1.50cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.957%
Kelly -2.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.59%66.57%66.47%67.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.431.4873.53%69.91%69.93%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.39%2.99cote équitable
EV +0.503%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.250%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%33.43%33.53%35.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.873.0137.74%34.80%34.84%33.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Los Angeles Dodgers (Local) : 66.61% ; Kansas City Royals (Visiteur) : 33.39%. Pour Kansas City Royals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.01, soit une espérance positive de +0.503%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66%EV +0.503%E +0.167%K +0.250%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-13 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%0.9%2026-08-12 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.17%E -0.394%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:30
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -2.50%E -0.857%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-13 01:34
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:49
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:55
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 02:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.41%E -6.92%K -26.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:19
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.08%E -1.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:24
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 01:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-08-13 02:00
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31%0.5%2026-08-13 02:05
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-13 02:05
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-12 22:55
Polymarket◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-13 01:45
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-08-13 01:25