Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-08-13 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Previsão 66.61%1.50odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.957%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.59%66.57%66.47%67.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.431.431.4873.53%69.91%69.93%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 33.39%2.99odd justa
EV +0.503%
Vantagem +0.167%
Kelly +0.250%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.24%33.43%33.53%35.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.872.873.0137.74%34.80%34.84%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 66.61%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 33.39%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.99. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.503%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66%EV +0.503%E +0.167%K +0.250%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-13 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%0.9%2026-08-12 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.17%E -0.394%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:30
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -2.50%E -0.857%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-13 01:34
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:49
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:55
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 02:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.41%E -6.92%K -26.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:19
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.08%E -1.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:24
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 01:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-08-13 02:00
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31%0.5%2026-08-13 02:05
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-13 02:05
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-12 22:55
Polymarket◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-13 01:45
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-08-13 01:25