Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-08-13 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 66.61%1.50momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -2.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.59%66.57%66.47%67.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.431.4873.53%69.91%69.93%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 33.39%2.99momio equitativo
EV +0.503%
Ventaja +0.167%
Kelly +0.250%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%33.43%33.53%35.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.872.873.0137.74%34.80%34.84%33.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 66.61%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 33.39%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.99. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.01, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.503%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 67.34%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.66%EV +0.503%E +0.167%K +0.250%G +0.001%1.7%2026-08-13 01:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%0.9%2026-08-12 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.169%E +0.056%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Caesars🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.17%E -0.394%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-13 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 02:05
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:54
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:54
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.50%E -0.509%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 01:55
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -2.75%E -1.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-13 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.08%E -4.31%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.17%E -0.740%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:30
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -2.50%E -0.857%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-13 01:34
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:49
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 00:55
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-12 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.08%E -5.85%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.17%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 01:54
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.84%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.17%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 22:24
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 02:05
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 00:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 01:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.41%E -6.92%K -26.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -4.84%E -1.70%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:19
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.08%E -1.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.42%E -2.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.51%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.08%E -2.83%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.18%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 01:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:24
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.42%E -0.957%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.75%E -3.32%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.75%E -4.82%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.85%E -3.65%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 01:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.41%E -3.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -11.52%E -4.35%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 01:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-08-13 02:00
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31%0.5%2026-08-13 02:05
ProphetX◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-13 02:05
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-12 22:55
Polymarket◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-13 01:45
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-13 02:05
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-08-13 01:25