Language:English
Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 34.31%2.91fair odd
EV -0.488%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.257%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%34.26%34.42%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.792.802.9037.74%35.81%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 65.69%1.52fair odd
EV -0.815%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%65.74%65.58%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.451.441.5171.94%69.17%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 34.31%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 65.69%. For Kansas City Royals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -0.488%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 18:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 16:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.55%E -0.897%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.47%E -0.981%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-06 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-06 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.58%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.815%E -0.540%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 18:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 18:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-06 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.70%E -6.26%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 1.5% | 2026-07-06 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94% | 10.9% | 2026-07-06 18:10 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.