La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-07-06 18:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 15–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 34.31%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.488%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.257%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.03%34.26%34.42%34.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.792.802.9037.74%35.81%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 65.69%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.815%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.01%65.74%65.58%66.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.451.441.5171.94%69.17%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 18:09
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 18:04
GTbets2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-06 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 17:45
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 17:45
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-06 16:44
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-06 18:04
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 18:10
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 15:40
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 16:44
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 18:10
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.55%E -0.897%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.47%E -0.981%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 18:09
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 18:09
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.58%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.815%E -0.540%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 17:30
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-06 18:05
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 18:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:34
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:55
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:49
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:55
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 18:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 18:10
DraftKings2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 18:04
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:50
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 18:05
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 17:05
Bovada2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 16:54
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 16:39
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 16:50
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 17:04
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:24
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:45
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 18:09
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 18:09
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 18:04
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 18:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.70%E -6.26%K -22.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
ProphetX2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-07-06 18:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-07-06 18:10
BetOpenly2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%1.5%2026-07-06 18:00
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-07-06 17:40
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-07-06 18:10
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%10.9%2026-07-06 18:10