مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-07-06 18:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kansas City Royals 15–1 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kansas City Royals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.31%2.91السعر العادل
EV -0.488%
الأفضلية -0.168%
Kelly -0.257%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.03%34.26%34.42%34.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.792.802.9037.74%35.81%35.71%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 65.69%1.52السعر العادل
EV -0.815%
الأفضلية -0.540%
Kelly -1.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.01%65.74%65.58%66.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.391.451.441.5171.94%69.17%69.44%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 18:09
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 18:04
GTbets2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-06 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 17:45
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 17:45
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-06 16:44
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-06 18:04
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 18:10
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 15:40
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 16:44
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 18:10
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.55%E -0.897%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.47%E -0.981%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 18:09
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 18:09
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.58%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.815%E -0.540%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 17:30
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-06 18:05
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 18:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:34
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:55
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:49
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:55
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 18:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 18:10
DraftKings2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 18:04
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:50
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 18:05
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 17:05
Bovada2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 16:54
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 16:39
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 16:50
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 17:04
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:24
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:45
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 18:09
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 18:09
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 18:04
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 18:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.70%E -6.26%K -22.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 18:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
ProphetX2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-07-06 18:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-07-06 18:10
BetOpenly2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%1.5%2026-07-06 18:00
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-07-06 17:40
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-07-06 18:10
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%10.9%2026-07-06 18:10