L’École des cotes

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-06 18:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 15–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 34.31%2.91cote équitable
EV -0.488%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.257%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.03%34.26%34.42%34.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.792.802.9037.74%35.81%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.69%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.815%
Avantage -0.540%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.01%65.74%65.58%66.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.451.441.5171.94%69.17%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 18:09
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.488%E -0.168%K -0.257%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 18:04
GTbets2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-06 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 17:45
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 17:45
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-06 16:44
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-06 18:04
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 18:10
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 15:40
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 16:44
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.20%E -0.773%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 18:10
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.55%E -0.897%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.47%E -0.981%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 18:09
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 18:09
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.58%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.815%E -0.540%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-06 17:30
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-06 18:05
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 18:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:34
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:55
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:49
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 17:55
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 18:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 18:10
DraftKings2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 18:04
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:50
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 18:05
FanDuel2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 17:05
Bovada2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 16:54
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.79%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 16:39
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 16:50
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 17:04
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:24
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:45
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 18:09
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 18:09
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:30
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 18:04
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 18:10
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 17:45
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-06 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -8.70%E -6.26%K -22.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-07-06 18:10
ProphetX2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-07-06 18:10
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-07-06 18:10
BetOpenly2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%1.5%2026-07-06 18:00
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-07-06 18:10
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-07-06 17:40
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-07-06 18:10
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%10.9%2026-07-06 18:10