Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

Początek: 2026-07-05 00:11 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Kansas City Royals 1–6 Philadelphia Phillies

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.37%2.42kurs godziwy
EV +0.539%
Przewaga +0.222%
Kelly +0.377%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.15%41.45%41.33%43.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.53%43.48%41.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Philadelphia Phillies (Goście)

Prognoza 58.63%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -1.51%
Przewaga -0.898%
Kelly -2.22%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.76%58.55%58.67%59.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.41%61.35%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze): 41.37%; Philadelphia Phillies (Goście): 58.63%. Dla wyniku Kansas City Royals (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.42. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.43, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.539%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
GTbets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.539%E +0.222%K +0.377%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:50
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.702%E -0.293%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:19
BetAnything🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:55
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.53%E -0.643%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 22:54
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:09
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-04 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.51%E -0.898%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:50
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 23:45
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:45
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 07:30
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 22:20
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 04:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 05:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 07:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.25%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:15
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:15
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:45
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 04:55
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 04:55
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -8.15%E -3.67%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -10.22%E -4.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -13.11%E -6.25%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 00:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-07-05 00:10
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-04 23:35
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%1.5%2026-07-05 00:10
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-07-05 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-07-05 00:10
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-04 23:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-07-05 00:10