مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-07-05 00:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Kansas City Royals 1–6 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kansas City Royals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.37%2.42السعر العادل
EV +0.539%
الأفضلية +0.222%
Kelly +0.377%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.15%41.45%41.33%43.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.53%43.48%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.63%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.898%
Kelly -2.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.76%58.55%58.67%59.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.41%61.35%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.539%E +0.222%K +0.377%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:50
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:50
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.702%E -0.293%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:19
BetAnything2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:55
Everygame2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.53%E -0.643%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 22:54
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:09
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-04 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.51%E -0.898%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:50
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 23:45
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 06:40
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 23:45
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:00
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:45
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:44
MyBookie.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 23:50
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 23:15
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 07:30
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 22:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 04:55
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 05:44
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:55
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 07:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:10
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.25%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:15
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:15
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:15
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:45
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 04:55
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 04:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:09
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 21:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 23:45
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -8.15%E -3.67%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -10.22%E -4.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -13.11%E -6.25%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 00:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-07-05 00:10
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-04 23:35
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%1.5%2026-07-05 00:10
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-07-05 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-07-05 00:10
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-04 23:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-07-05 00:10