La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Predicción 41.37%2.42momio equitativo
EV +0.539%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.377%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.45%41.33%43.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.53%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)
Predicción 58.63%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.898%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%58.55%58.67%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.41%61.35%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.539%E +0.222%K +0.377%G +0.002% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.702%E -0.293%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 22:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Everygame | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.53%E -0.643%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 00:09 |
| BetUS | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.51%E -0.898%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| ReBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| Bovada | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 07:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 22:20 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 05:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.25%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 12:15 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Betsson | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -8.15%E -3.67%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -10.22%E -4.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -13.11%E -6.25%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Polymarket | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Novig | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| BetOpenly | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |