La scuola delle quote

Kansas City Royals v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-07-05 00:11 UTC

Finale: Kansas City Royals 1–6 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Casa)

Previsione 41.37%2.42quota equa
EV +0.539%
Vantaggio +0.222%
Kelly +0.377%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.15%41.45%41.33%43.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.53%43.48%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.63%1.71quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.898%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.76%58.55%58.67%59.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.631.631.6863.69%61.41%61.35%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.539%E +0.222%K +0.377%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:50
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:50
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.289%E -0.120%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-04 23:50
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.702%E -0.293%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 22:19
BetAnything2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -1.12%E -0.467%K -0.803%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:55
Everygame2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.53%E -0.643%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 22:54
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:09
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-04 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.94%E -0.820%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.51%E -0.898%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:50
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 23:45
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 06:40
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 23:45
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 21:00
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:00
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:45
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 23:44
MyBookie.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.60%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 23:50
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.09%E -1.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 23:15
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 07:30
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.01%E -1.73%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 22:20
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 04:55
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:00
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 05:44
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:55
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 07:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.84%E -2.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:10
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.25%E -2.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 12:15
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:15
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:15
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.67%E -2.49%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 23:45
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 04:55
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 04:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.85%E -2.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.44%E -2.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:09
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.91%E -3.07%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 21:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -7.74%E -3.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -6.78%E -4.27%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 23:45
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -8.15%E -3.67%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -3.27%E -1.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.68%E -1.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 00:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.98%E -4.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.61%E -3.49%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -10.22%E -4.71%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -7.96%E -5.07%K -13.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.05%E -5.14%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.03%E -3.10%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -13.11%E -6.25%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.20%E -3.87%K -10.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-07-05 00:10
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-04 23:35
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-05 00:10
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-07-05 00:10
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%1.5%2026-07-05 00:10
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-07-05 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-07-05 00:10
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-04 23:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-07-05 00:10