Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

2026-09-02 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prediction 50.46%1.98fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%50.45%50.53%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.891.881.9555.25%53.03%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 49.54%2.02fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.55%49.47%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.931.9954.05%51.82%51.81%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.46%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 49.54%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.99, with an expected value of -1.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.61%E -0.823%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 18:19
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.11%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.91%E -0.964%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 01:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.91%E -0.964%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:40
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:40
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:45
Everygame🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.41%E -0.710%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 04:54
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 19:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:45
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 02:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:30
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 03:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 02:39
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.36%E -3.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 04:20
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.90%E -1.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:29
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:54
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:46
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:46
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:50
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:45
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 03:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:03
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 02:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.85%E -4.22%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.35%E -4.51%K -9.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 01:04
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.67%E -4.79%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.36%E -3.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 03:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87%0.8%2026-09-02 04:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-02 01:20
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 18:15
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-02 04:30
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%5.5%2026-09-02 03:00
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-09-02 04:50