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Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Predicción 52.80%1.89momio equitativo
EV +0.312%
Ventaja +0.164%
Kelly +0.347%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.70%52.93%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.801.801.9057.80%55.42%55.56%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 47.20%2.12momio equitativo
EV +0.073%
Ventaja +0.034%
Kelly +0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.30%47.07%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.862.002.002.1253.76%50.03%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kansas City Royals (Local): 52.80%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 47.20%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.89. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.312%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV +0.312%E +0.164%K +0.347%G +0.001% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -5.12%E -2.55%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.312%E +0.164%K +0.347%G +0.001% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.744%E -0.396%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 23:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.34%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -9.37%E -4.88%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV +0.073%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.871%E -0.415%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.76%E -1.34%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 23:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -8.90%E -4.61%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.90%E -4.61%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -12.20%E -6.56%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 23:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |