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Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

2026-09-02 23:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 50.46%1.98momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.823%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.60%50.45%50.53%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.811.891.881.9555.25%53.03%53.19%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 49.54%2.02momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%49.55%49.47%50.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.931.931.9954.05%51.82%51.81%50.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kansas City Royals (Local): 50.46%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 49.54%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.02. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.99, con un valor esperado de -1.41%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.61%E -0.823%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-01 18:19
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.11%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.91%E -0.964%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 01:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.91%E -0.964%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:40
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:40
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.61%E -1.35%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.40%E -1.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 03:45
Everygame🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.12%E -1.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.41%E -0.710%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 04:54
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 19:25
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 23:45
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 02:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:30
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 03:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 02:39
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 03:25
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.09%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.36%E -3.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 04:20
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.90%E -1.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 03:25
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 03:25
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 04:29
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:54
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:46
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 01:46
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:50
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.89%E -2.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 03:45
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.39%E -2.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 03:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.39%E -1.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 04:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 03:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.88%E -2.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 03:25
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 01:03
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.38%E -2.81%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 02:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -8.16%E -4.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -7.85%E -4.22%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.16%E -4.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.35%E -4.51%K -9.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 01:04
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.67%E -4.79%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.36%E -3.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 03:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-02 01:20
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-01 18:15
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-02 04:30
ProphetX◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.3%2026-09-02 05:00
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%5.5%2026-09-02 03:00
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%9.0%2026-09-02 04:55