Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-09-02 23:41 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 6–9 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 52.80%1.89odd justa
EV +0.312%
Vantagem +0.164%
Kelly +0.347%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.70%52.93%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.801.801.9057.80%55.42%55.56%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 47.20%2.12odd justa
EV +0.073%
Vantagem +0.034%
Kelly +0.065%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%47.30%47.07%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.862.002.002.1253.76%50.03%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Royals (Local): 52.80%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 47.20%. Para Kansas City Royals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.89. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.312%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV +0.312%E +0.164%K +0.347%G +0.001%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -5.12%E -2.55%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.312%E +0.164%K +0.347%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:35
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.744%E -0.396%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 23:22
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.34%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 23:25
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -9.37%E -4.88%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:40
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV +0.073%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:35
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 23:39
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.871%E -0.415%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.76%E -1.34%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:35
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:24
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:39
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 23:24
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 23:28
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 23:35
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -8.90%E -4.61%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.90%E -4.61%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -12.20%E -6.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-09-02 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-09-02 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-09-02 23:40
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-02 23:40
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-09-02 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-09-02 23:39
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%12.9%2026-09-02 23:40