StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals v Miami Marlins

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 23:41 UTC

Endstand: Kansas City Royals 6–9 Miami Marlins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Kansas City Royals (Heim)

Prognose 52.80%1.89faire Quote
EV +0.312%
Vorteil +0.164%
Kelly +0.347%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%52.70%52.93%53.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.731.801.801.9057.80%55.42%55.56%52.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.20%2.12faire Quote
EV +0.073%
Vorteil +0.034%
Kelly +0.065%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.05%47.30%47.07%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.862.002.002.1253.76%50.03%50.00%47.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Kansas City Royals (Heim): 52.80%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 47.20%. Für Kansas City Royals (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.89. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.312%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV +0.312%E +0.164%K +0.347%G +0.001%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -5.12%E -2.55%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.312%E +0.164%K +0.347%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:35
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.744%E -0.396%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 23:22
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.34%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 23:25
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.82%E -0.873%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.70%E -1.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -9.37%E -4.88%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 23:40
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV +0.073%E +0.034%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:35
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.399%E -0.189%K -0.360%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.91%E -2.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 23:39
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.871%E -0.415%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.76%E -1.34%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.44%E -2.45%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:35
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:24
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 23:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:39
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 23:24
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 23:28
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 23:35
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.42%E -4.34%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -8.90%E -4.61%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.90%E -4.61%K -9.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -12.20%E -6.56%K -14.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-09-02 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-09-02 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-09-02 23:40
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-02 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-02 23:40
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-09-02 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-09-02 23:39
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-09-02 23:40
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%12.9%2026-09-02 23:40