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Kansas City Royals v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kansas City Royals (Local)
Prediction 54.26%1.84fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.26%54.22%55.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.63%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 45.74%2.19fair odd
EV +0.635%
Edge +0.289%
Kelly +0.529%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.58%45.74%45.78%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.072.2050.25%48.01%48.31%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kansas City Royals (Local): 54.26%; Houston Astros (Visit): 45.74%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.635%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.635%E +0.289%K +0.529%G +0.003% | 2.0% | 2026-06-13 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-13 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 22:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.11%E -0.986%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-13 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -3.48%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.80%E -0.992%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-13 21:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-13 07:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-13 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-13 21:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-13 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-13 20:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-13 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.97%E -4.51%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-13 22:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.4% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 2.1% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-06-13 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15% | 3.0% | 2026-06-13 23:00 |