A Escola das Odds

Kansas City Royals v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-06-13 23:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 7–8 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Previsão 54.26%1.84odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.992%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.26%54.22%55.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.63%56.50%55.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 45.74%2.19odd justa
EV +0.635%
Vantagem +0.289%
Kelly +0.529%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.58%45.74%45.78%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.992.082.072.2050.25%48.01%48.31%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.635%E +0.289%K +0.529%G +0.003%2.0%2026-06-13 23:09
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-13 22:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-13 22:40
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 22:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 22:40
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 22:40
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:40
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:38
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.11%E -0.986%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:09
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -3.48%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 23:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.80%E -0.992%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-13 23:10
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-13 21:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 22:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 07:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 23:00
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 21:10
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:50
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:10
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:30
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 23:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 23:00
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 22:59
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 23:00
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 18:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 23:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 23:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 23:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 02:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 23:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 20:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.97%E -4.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 22:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-06-13 23:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-13 23:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-06-13 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-13 23:10
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-06-13 23:00