La escuela de los momios

Kansas City Royals v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-06-13 23:11 UTC

Final: Kansas City Royals 7–8 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Predicción 54.26%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.992%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.26%54.22%55.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.63%56.50%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 45.74%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.635%
Ventaja +0.289%
Kelly +0.529%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.58%45.74%45.78%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.082.072.2050.25%48.01%48.31%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.635%E +0.289%K +0.529%G +0.003%2.0%2026-06-13 23:09
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-13 22:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-13 22:40
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 22:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 22:40
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 22:40
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:40
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:38
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.11%E -0.986%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:09
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -3.48%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 23:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.80%E -0.992%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-13 23:10
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-13 21:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 22:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 07:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 23:00
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 21:10
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:50
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:10
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:30
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 23:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 23:00
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 22:59
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 23:00
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 18:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 23:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 23:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:10
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 23:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 02:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 23:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 20:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.97%E -4.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 22:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-06-13 23:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-13 23:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-06-13 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-13 23:10
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-06-13 23:00