Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 23:11 UTC

Score final : Kansas City Royals 7–8 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kansas City Royals (Local)

Prévision 54.26%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.992%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.26%54.22%55.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.63%56.50%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.74%2.19cote équitable
EV +0.635%
Avantage +0.289%
Kelly +0.529%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.58%45.74%45.78%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.992.082.072.2050.25%48.01%48.31%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kansas City Royals (Local) : 54.26% ; Houston Astros (Visiteur) : 45.74%. Pour Houston Astros (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.19. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.20, soit une espérance positive de +0.635%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.635%E +0.289%K +0.529%G +0.003%2.0%2026-06-13 23:09
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-13 22:40
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV +0.178%E +0.081%K +0.150%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-13 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 22:50
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.737%E -0.340%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 22:38
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.11%E -0.986%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -3.48%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.80%E -0.992%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-13 23:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-13 21:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 07:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 21:10
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:30
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.77%E -2.80%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 23:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 23:00
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 18:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 23:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 02:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 23:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 20:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.97%E -4.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 22:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-13 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-13 23:10
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-06-13 23:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-06-13 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-13 23:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-06-13 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-06-13 23:10
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%3.0%2026-06-13 23:00