The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-04 00:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 54.52%1.83fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.52%54.55%55.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.761.8259.52%56.98%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 45.48%2.20fair odd
EV -0.861%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.81%45.48%45.45%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.70%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Astros (Local): 54.52%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 45.48%. For Houston Astros (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.82, with an expected value of -0.767%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.767%E -0.421%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 19:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 21:45
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-03 01:45
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.77%E -0.820%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 01:44
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.77%E -0.820%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 01:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 01:44
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.861%E -0.395%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 03:14
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.861%E -0.395%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:50
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 21:04
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 20:45
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 00:14
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:15
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:09
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:14
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:30
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:10
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:29
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 20:40
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.68%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 03:09
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 02:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:04
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:20
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:11
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:54
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:25
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.76%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:10
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.76%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-08-03 03:44
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-03 02:50
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-08-03 03:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 01:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-03 03:25
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-03 03:20
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-08-03 03:35