Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-08-04 00:10 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 1–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 57.70%1.73odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.779%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.56%57.51%57.69%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7162.50%60.10%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 42.30%2.36odd justa
EV +0.673%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.488%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.49%42.31%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.50%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 57.70%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 42.30%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.673%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +0.673%E +0.283%K +0.488%G +0.003%1.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Caesars🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV +0.250%E +0.105%K +0.182%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 23:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.596%E -0.254%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-03 23:50
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.02%E -0.435%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.44%E -0.619%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.44%E -0.619%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.86%E -0.804%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.86%E -0.804%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 00:05
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.29%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 23:49
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.29%E -0.990%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 00:04
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 23:35
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:03
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.71%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.37%E -3.28%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.13%E -1.37%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 23:50
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.56%E -1.56%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.40%E -1.95%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 00:05
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 23:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 00:04
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:09
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:59
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.37%E -3.28%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.37%E -3.28%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.95%E -3.65%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.14%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.25%E -2.34%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:05
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:05
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:04
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.67%E -2.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.22%E -2.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.09%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:50
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.22%E -2.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.09%E -2.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 23:49
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:08
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.64%E -2.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.68%E -4.80%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.94%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.33%E -0.779%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.79%E -3.57%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:10
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.06%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.53%E -4.03%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -9.48%E -4.43%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.06%E -1.82%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.79%E -2.91%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.17%E -5.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-03 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-04 00:07
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 00:10
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-08-04 00:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-03 23:50
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-08-03 23:50
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-08-04 00:10
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-08-04 00:09