Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-04 00:10 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 54.52%1.83momio equitativo
EV -0.767%
Ventaja -0.421%
Kelly -0.935%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.52%54.55%55.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.761.8259.52%56.98%56.82%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 45.48%2.20momio equitativo
EV -0.861%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.730%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.81%45.48%45.45%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.70%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Houston Astros (Local): 54.52%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 45.48%. Para Houston Astros (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.82, con un valor esperado de -0.767%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.767%E -0.421%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 19:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 21:45
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-03 01:45
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.77%E -0.820%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 01:44
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.77%E -0.820%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 01:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 01:44
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.861%E -0.395%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 03:14
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.861%E -0.395%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:50
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 21:04
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 20:45
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 00:14
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:15
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:09
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:14
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:30
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:10
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:29
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 20:40
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.68%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 03:09
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 02:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:04
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:20
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:11
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:54
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:25
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.76%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:10
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.76%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-08-03 03:44
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-03 02:50
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-03 04:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 01:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 04:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 03:25
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-03 03:20
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-08-03 03:35