Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-04 00:10 UTC — MLB

Победитель встречи

65 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Houston Astros (Хозяева)

Прогноз 54.52%1.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.767%
Преимущество -0.421%
Kelly -0.935%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.66%54.52%54.55%55.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.751.761.8259.52%56.98%56.82%54.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Toronto Blue Jays (Гости)

Прогноз 45.48%2.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.861%
Преимущество -0.395%
Kelly -0.730%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.81%45.48%45.45%46.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.70%47.62%45.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Houston Astros (Хозяева): 54.52%; Toronto Blue Jays (Гости): 45.48%. Для исхода «Houston Astros (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.83. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший доступный коэффициент — 1.82, математическое ожидание — -0.767%; положительного ожидания нет.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.767%E -0.421%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 19:25
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 21:45
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.32%E -0.607%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-03 01:45
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.77%E -0.820%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-03 01:44
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.77%E -0.820%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 01:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.40%E -1.34%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.23%E -1.04%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 01:44
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.861%E -0.395%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-03 03:14
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.95%E -1.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:10
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.861%E -0.395%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:50
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 21:04
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 20:45
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 00:14
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:15
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:09
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.49%E -1.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:09
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 02:14
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.86%E -2.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:30
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.04%E -2.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 22:10
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.14%E -1.47%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 02:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:10
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:39
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 02:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:29
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.58%E -2.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 20:40
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.68%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 03:09
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.59%E -1.69%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 02:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:04
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.13%E -2.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 02:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:20
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:11
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 20:54
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.67%E -3.28%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.41%E -2.60%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:25
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 20:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.76%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.50%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:10
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.76%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.40%E -5.00%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 02:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-08-03 03:44
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-03 02:50
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-03 04:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 01:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 04:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-03 03:25
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-03 03:20
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%3.4%2026-08-03 03:35