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Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-05 00:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 56.43%1.77fair odd
EV -0.118%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.78%56.48%56.43%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.53%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV +0.210%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.161%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%43.52%43.57%45.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.182.192.3049.02%45.84%45.77%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Astros (Local): 56.43%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 43.57%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.295. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.300, producing a positive expected value of +0.210%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.210%E +0.091%K +0.161%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:50
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.210%E +0.091%K +0.161%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:10
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.226%E -0.099%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%EV -0.662%E -0.290%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-04 22:54
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.662%E -0.290%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.662%E -0.290%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:00
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.53%E -0.678%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.53%E -0.678%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:54
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.53%E -0.678%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.97%E -0.875%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 23:05
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.97%E -0.875%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:50
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -1.97%E -0.875%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 22:48
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.97%E -0.875%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:54
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:54
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:49
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:05
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:49
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:09
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:54
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:00
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:45
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:09
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:46
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -0.118%E -0.067%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 21:09
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -0.118%E -0.067%K -0.153%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:49
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:49
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.33%E -3.81%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.33%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.25%E -0.712%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.25%E -0.712%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 21:10
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:10
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:04
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:55
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:09
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -11.12%E -5.45%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-04 23:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-04 23:05
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-04 23:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-04 22:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-08-04 23:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-08-04 23:10
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.02%BetRivers 1.77 (56.5%) / Caesars 2.30 (43.5%)Show all 4 combinations
Houston Astros (Local)Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)Margin
BetRivers 1.77 (56.5%)Caesars 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
BetRivers 1.77 (56.5%)Pinnacle 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Svenska Spel 1.77 (56.5%)Caesars 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%
Svenska Spel 1.77 (56.5%)Pinnacle 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%