Language:English
Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 56.53%1.77fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.31%56.53%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.03%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV +0.406%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.310%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.69%43.47%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3148.78%45.61%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 56.53%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 43.47%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.406%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV +0.406%E +0.176%K +0.310%G +0.001% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.029%E -0.012%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.463%E -0.202%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.463%E -0.202%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.63%E -0.937%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.15%E -3.71%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.63%E -0.937%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.63%E -0.937%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.15%E -3.71%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.15%E -3.71%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.81%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.41%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.41%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.42%E -3.48%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.07%E -0.609%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -9.59%E -4.61%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.90%E -5.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.90%E -5.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.90%E -5.31%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 23:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 00:09 |