Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-05 00:15 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 56.56%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.584%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%56.45%56.53%59.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.691.701.7564.52%59.06%58.82%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.44%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.348%
Avantage +0.151%
Kelly +0.266%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.79%43.55%43.47%45.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.192.202.3148.78%45.64%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Houston Astros (Local) : 56.56% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 43.44%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.30. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.31, pour une espérance positive de +0.348%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV +0.348%E +0.151%K +0.266%G +0.001%1.8%2026-08-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.086%E -0.037%K -0.066%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:44
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.520%E -0.227%K -0.403%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:00
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.520%E -0.227%K -0.403%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:59
Caesars1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.955%E -0.419%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:15
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.955%E -0.419%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.955%E -0.419%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -0.955%E -0.419%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.59%E -0.912%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.82%E -0.807%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.82%E -0.807%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:54
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.15%E -1.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.82%E -0.807%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:40
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.26%E -1.00%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.13%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:59
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.13%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:09
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.59%E -0.912%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 23:59
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.59%E -0.912%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:54
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:05
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.55%E -3.32%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.11%E -3.68%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:05
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.37%E -5.17%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.43%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 00:04
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.86%E -2.22%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:49
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:59
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.30%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.17%E -2.86%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.17%E -2.86%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 00:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.42%E -2.61%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:09
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.04%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.04%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.24%E -4.42%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.47%E -3.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.02%E -0.584%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.91%E -3.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:10
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.91%E -3.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.98%E -2.96%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.91%E -3.73%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:59
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:04
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.28%E -1.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:10
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.68%E -4.05%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -9.64%E -4.64%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.72%E -1.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.95%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 00:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.95%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:59
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.85%E -2.26%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.95%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-04 23:45
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 00:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 00:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-08-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-08-05 00:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-05 00:05
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-05 00:09
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%2.5%2026-08-05 00:10