Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 7–2 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 56.53%1.77odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.609%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%56.31%56.53%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.03%58.82%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 43.47%2.30odd justa
EV +0.406%
Vantagem +0.176%
Kelly +0.310%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%43.69%43.47%45.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3148.78%45.61%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 56.53%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 43.47%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.30. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.31, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.406%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV +0.406%E +0.176%K +0.310%G +0.001%1.8%2026-08-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.029%E -0.012%K -0.022%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:44
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.463%E -0.202%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:00
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.463%E -0.202%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 23:59
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -0.898%E -0.394%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.63%E -0.937%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:54
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.77%E -0.782%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:00
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.15%E -3.71%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:09
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.63%E -0.937%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.63%E -0.937%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:09
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:05
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.15%E -3.71%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.15%E -3.71%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.41%E -5.19%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.81%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.41%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:59
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.41%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 00:00
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:00
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.28%E -4.44%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.42%E -3.48%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.07%E -0.609%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.02%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -9.59%E -4.61%K -8.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.76%E -1.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.90%E -5.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.90%E -5.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:59
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.89%E -2.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.90%E -5.31%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-04 23:45
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-05 00:05
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 00:10
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-05 00:10
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-05 00:05
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-05 00:09