Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 1.92
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 46.86%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 53.14%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.045% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.09%E -4.68%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.16%E -0.626%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.81%E -2.89%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 06:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -11.43%E -6.05%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.755%E +0.351%K +0.656%G +0.005% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 18:07 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 18:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 15:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.59%E -0.756%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.02%E -5.22%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 18:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |