La escuela de los momios

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 0–8 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 46.86%2.13momio equitativo
EV +0.755%
Ventaja +0.351%
Kelly +0.656%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.45%46.95%46.75%49.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.032.052.1552.91%49.14%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.14%1.88momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +2.20%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.94%53.05%53.25%54.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.801.801.9258.14%55.61%55.56%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.045%2.1%2026-05-17 15:55
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.09%E -4.68%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.16%E -0.626%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 15:54
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.81%E -2.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:59
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 18:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 06:14
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:10
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 16:25
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 18:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -11.43%E -6.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:10
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:09
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 15:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.755%E +0.351%K +0.656%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 18:07
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:00
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 16:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:08
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:55
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 18:09
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:55
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:10
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:54
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:50
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.59%E -0.756%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.02%E -5.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-05-17 18:09
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-17 18:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-17 17:55
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-17 18:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-05-17 18:10
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-05-17 18:10