Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 0–8 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 46.86%2.13odd justa
EV +0.755%
Vantagem +0.351%
Kelly +0.656%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.45%46.95%46.75%49.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.892.032.052.1552.91%49.14%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.14%1.88odd justa
EV +2.02%
Vantagem +1.05%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.94%53.05%53.25%54.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.801.9258.14%55.61%55.56%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 46.86%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 53.14%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.88. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.92, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.045%2.1%2026-05-17 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.09%E -4.68%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.16%E -0.626%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:50
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.81%E -2.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 18:10
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 06:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:10
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 16:25
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -11.43%E -6.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:10
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.755%E +0.351%K +0.656%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 18:07
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:54
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:00
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:55
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 18:09
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:54
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:50
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.59%E -0.756%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:49
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.02%E -5.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-05-17 18:09
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-17 18:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-17 17:55
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-17 18:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-05-17 18:10
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-05-17 18:10