L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 0–8 Texas Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 46.86%2.13cote équitable
EV +0.755%
Avantage +0.351%
Kelly +0.656%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%46.95%46.75%49.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.892.032.052.1552.91%49.14%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.14%1.88cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.94%53.05%53.25%54.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.9258.14%55.61%55.56%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.045%2.1%2026-05-17 15:55
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.09%E -4.68%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.16%E -0.626%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 15:54
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.56%E -4.95%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.70%E -0.917%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.81%E -2.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.23%E -1.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:59
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 17:55
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 18:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 06:14
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.49%E -5.49%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:10
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 16:25
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.12%E -0.531%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 18:09
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -11.43%E -6.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -3.29%E -1.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:10
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.651%E -0.307%K -0.582%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:09
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 15:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.755%E +0.351%K +0.656%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 18:07
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.183%E -0.086%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:54
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 15:55
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:00
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 16:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:05
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:08
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 23:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 15:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 15:55
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.46%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 18:09
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:10
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:55
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:10
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.40%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:54
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:55
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:50
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.99%E -1.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.59%E -0.756%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 17:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.93%E -1.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.02%E -5.22%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.60%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-17 18:10
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-05-17 18:09
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.62%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.38%0.7%2026-05-17 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-17 18:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-17 17:55
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-17 18:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-05-17 18:10
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%3.3%2026-05-17 18:10