Language:English
Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Astros (Local)
Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.74%48.68%50.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.952.0254.05%51.27%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 51.23%1.95fair odd
EV -0.606%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.645%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.20%51.26%51.32%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.861.861.9456.82%53.68%53.76%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Astros (Local): 48.77%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 51.23%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -0.606%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.49%E -0.739%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.98%E -0.985%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.32%E -5.26%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.96%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.93%E -2.00%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.12%E -0.579%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 18:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 18:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -1.63%E -0.849%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.17%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 17:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.73%E -3.11%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 16:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 16:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 17:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.27%E -4.01%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.37%E -3.32%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.75%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.34%E -3.87%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.32%E -4.43%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.83%E -5.58%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 50.37% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.63% | -1.2% | 2026-05-14 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |