L’École des cotes

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 18:11 UTC

Score final : Houston Astros 3–8 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prévision 48.77%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.739%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.95%48.74%48.68%50.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.951.952.0254.05%51.27%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.23%1.95cote équitable
EV -0.606%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.645%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.20%51.26%51.32%53.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.861.861.9456.82%53.68%53.76%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.49%E -0.739%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 17:45
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.98%E -0.985%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 16:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 16:55
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 18:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 18:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.32%E -5.26%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:50
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.96%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 16:45
Everygame1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.93%E -2.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.12%E -0.579%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:06
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:10
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:06
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:05
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:05
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -1.63%E -0.849%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 17:55
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.17%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:20
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 17:21
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.73%E -3.11%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:45
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:46
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:05
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 18:10
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 18:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:57
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:05
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:05
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:45
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 18:09
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 18:10
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 18:10
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 18:05
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.27%E -4.01%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:00
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.37%E -3.32%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.75%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 18:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 18:10
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:21
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.34%E -3.87%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.32%E -4.43%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.83%E -5.58%K -12.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 18:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 18:10
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 50.37%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.63%-1.2%2026-05-14 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-14 18:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-05-14 18:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-14 17:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-05-14 18:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%4.7%2026-05-14 18:10
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%5.3%2026-05-14 18:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-05-14 18:10