A Escola das Odds

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-05-14 18:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 3–8 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 48.77%2.05odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.739%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.95%48.74%48.68%50.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.951.952.0254.05%51.27%51.28%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 51.23%1.95odd justa
EV -0.606%
Vantagem -0.312%
Kelly -0.645%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.20%51.26%51.32%53.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.861.861.9456.82%53.68%53.76%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.49%E -0.739%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 17:45
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.98%E -0.985%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 16:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 16:55
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 16:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 18:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 18:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.47%E -1.23%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.32%E -5.26%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:50
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.96%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 16:45
Everygame1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.93%E -2.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.12%E -0.579%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:06
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:10
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:06
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:05
BetAnything1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.606%E -0.312%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 18:05
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -1.63%E -0.849%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-14 17:55
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.17%E -1.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:20
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 17:21
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.42%E -2.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.73%E -3.11%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 16:45
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:46
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:05
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 18:10
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:05
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 18:05
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.91%E -2.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:57
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:05
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 16:05
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:45
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.70%E -2.53%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 18:09
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.39%E -2.78%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 18:10
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 18:10
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.68%E -1.96%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 18:05
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.24%E -3.41%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.88%E -3.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.27%E -4.01%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:00
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.37%E -3.32%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.75%E -3.71%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 18:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 18:10
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:21
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.86%E -3.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.34%E -3.87%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.78%E -4.32%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.32%E -4.43%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.83%E -5.58%K -12.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 18:10
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.19%E -2.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 18:10
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -9.78%E -5.29%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -2.14%E -1.12%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 50.37%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.63%-1.2%2026-05-14 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-14 18:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-14 18:10
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-05-14 18:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-14 17:30
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-05-14 18:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%4.7%2026-05-14 18:10
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%5.3%2026-05-14 18:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-05-14 18:10