The School of Odds

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

2026-07-22 00:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 53.35%1.87fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%53.44%53.28%54.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.781.8558%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd
EV +0.301%
Edge +0.140%
Kelly +0.262%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%46.56%46.72%47.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.062.052.1551%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.301%E +0.140%K +0.262%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-21 03:30
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.10%E -0.518%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 00:20
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 08:15
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 04:20
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 04:20
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 04:20
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 04:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.50%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 08:15
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.50%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 08:15
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.50%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 04:20
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 04:20
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 04:20
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 04:20
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 04:24
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.96%E -1.43%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 04:20
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 07:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 04:20
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 04:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 04:20
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.31%E -0.706%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-21 08:15
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.44%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 07:25
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 04:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 09:45
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:14
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 05:45
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 07:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:45
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 03:34
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 05:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 03:35
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 07:30
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 07:30
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 07:10
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 07:25
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 09:25
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 03:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 03:35
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 00:15
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.11%E -3.47%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 03:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 01:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 06:05
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 06:05
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 06:05
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 01:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.46%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 03:20
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 09:40
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.83%E -2.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 04:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 05:29
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 05:35
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 07:24
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.91%E -1.60%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 08:04
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 01:45
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 07:23
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 03:50
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 07:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.17%E -4.12%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -7.16%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 07:25
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.63%E -3.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 03:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%-0.1%2026-07-21 09:10
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-07-21 09:11
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-21 00:10
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.3%2026-07-21 09:35
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-21 09:22
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-21 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-21 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-21 09:25
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-21 09:00
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%2.9%2026-07-21 09:45