La scuola delle quote

Houston Astros v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-07-22 00:11 UTC

Finale: Houston Astros 5–3 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Houston Astros (Casa)

Previsione 53.43%1.87quota equa
EV -0.620%
Vantaggio -0.333%
Kelly -0.721%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.44%53.51%53.25%54.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.781.771.8660.24%56.24%56.50%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.57%2.15quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.600%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.08%46.49%46.75%48.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.10%48.78%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.620%E -0.333%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-22 00:05
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-22 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 00:00
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-22 00:05
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-22 00:10
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.27%E -0.600%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 19:04
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -4.07%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 23:15
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 00:05
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 23:20
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.00%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 14:04
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.29%E -1.82%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.46%E -2.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 21:15
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:14
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 09:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 05:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.00%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:09
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:15
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.39%E -3.18%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 00:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:05
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 03:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 00:10
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.36%E -2.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 14:05
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.36%E -2.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:09
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.36%E -2.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:05
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:20
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:20
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 14:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:10
NordicBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 00:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:10
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:10
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:10
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:05
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 00:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 06:05
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 06:05
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 21:45
Unibet (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.27%E -0.600%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:10
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 00:10
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -8.10%E -4.71%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.63%E -5.05%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.07%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.17%E -5.39%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:05
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.17%E -5.39%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:08
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.17%E -5.39%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.24%E -6.09%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -11.31%E -6.81%K -17.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-22 00:10
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-22 00:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-21 23:50
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-22 00:10
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%2.4%2026-07-22 00:09
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-22 00:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-07-22 00:10