La escuela de los momiosHouston Astros v Miami Marlins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Houston Astros (Local)
Predicción 53.43%1.87momio equitativo
EV -0.620%
Ventaja -0.333%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.44%53.51%53.25%54.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.781.771.8660.24%56.24%56.50%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Miami Marlins (Visitante)
Predicción 46.57%2.15momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%46.49%46.75%48.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.10%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -0.620%E -0.333%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.15%E -0.624%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.27%E -0.600%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-21 19:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -4.07%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 00:00 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.22%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.76%E -1.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.00%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-21 14:04 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.29%E -1.82%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.46%E -2.69%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 21:15 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 08:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 09:20 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-21 05:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.00%E -2.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.39%E -3.18%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 14:05 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 03:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.83%E -2.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.36%E -2.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.13%E -1.51%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-21 14:05 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.36%E -2.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.36%E -2.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.07%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 14:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -5.96%E -3.39%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 06:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 06:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.50%E -3.71%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.27%E -0.600%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.20%E -1.05%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.19%E -4.71%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -8.10%E -4.71%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -3.60%E -1.74%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.63%E -5.05%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.07%E -1.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.17%E -5.39%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:05 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.17%E -5.39%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:08 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.17%E -5.39%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.24%E -6.09%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -5.93%E -2.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -11.31%E -6.81%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -7.79%E -3.94%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 2.4% | 2026-07-22 00:09 |
| Novig | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.0% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |