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Houston Astros v Kansas City Royals

2026-09-16 00:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Astros (Local)

Prediction 59.32%1.69fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.58%59.31%59.32%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.611.6565.79%62.22%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Royals (Visit)

Prediction 40.68%2.46fair odd
EV -0.326%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.69%40.68%41.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.352.4546.51%42.59%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Astros (Local): 59.32%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 40.68%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -0.326%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.95%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.13%E -1.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 19:30
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV -0.326%E -0.133%K -0.225%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.14%E -0.469%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.14%E -0.469%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 00:35
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.14%E -0.469%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-14 21:00
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -1.95%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 00:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.31%E -2.03%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 21:50
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.36%E -0.983%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 01:44
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.99%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.99%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 20:55
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 19:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.91%E -2.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.43%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 23:40
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 23:00
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:29
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:14
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.50%E -2.80%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 21:00
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.58%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 23:30
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 20:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.80%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 20:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 20:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.39%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -6.02%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 20:54
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.69%E -3.58%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.43%E -2.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.87%E -4.38%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.17%E -1.33%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.65%E -5.62%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -9.84%E -6.47%K -18.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.53%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-14 20:55
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-09-15 01:50
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-09-15 01:00
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-09-15 01:50
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%5.2%2026-09-15 01:00
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%9.6%2026-09-14 20:55