A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Houston Astros v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-09-16 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Previsão 59.27%1.69odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.610%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%59.19%59.30%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.621.621.6765.36%61.79%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 40.73%2.46odd justa
EV +0.194%
Vantagem +0.079%
Kelly +0.133%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.81%40.70%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.322.332.4646.51%43.01%42.92%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Houston Astros (Local): 59.27%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 40.73%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.455. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.460, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.194%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.194%E +0.079%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 21:20
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.213%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 11:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.620%E -0.254%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.620%E -0.254%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.61%E -0.970%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 23:11
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.80%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 21:20
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 05:55
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.66%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 10:03
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.02%E -0.610%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 23:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 21:50
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:39
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 23:35
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 05:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:14
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 12:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.69%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:50
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 04:30
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 19:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:39
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.95%E -3.52%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 23:41
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.80%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.32%E -6.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:56
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-09-15 22:40
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-15 22:45
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-15 22:30
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:30
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-09-16 00:05
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-09-15 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%4.5%2026-09-15 22:25