La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Houston Astros v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-09-16 00:11 UTC

Final: Houston Astros 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Houston Astros (Local)

Predicción 59.27%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.610%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%59.19%59.30%60.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.6765.36%61.79%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 40.73%2.46momio equitativo
EV +0.194%
Ventaja +0.079%
Kelly +0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.81%40.70%43.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.322.332.4646.51%43.01%42.92%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Houston Astros (Local): 59.27%; Kansas City Royals (Visitante): 40.73%. Para Kansas City Royals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.455. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.460, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.194%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.194%E +0.079%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 21:20
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.213%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 11:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.620%E -0.254%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.620%E -0.254%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 21:20
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.61%E -0.970%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 23:11
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.80%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 21:20
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 05:55
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.66%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 10:03
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.02%E -0.610%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 23:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-16 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 21:50
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:39
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 23:35
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 05:55
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 00:14
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 12:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.69%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:50
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 04:30
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 23:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 19:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:39
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.95%E -3.52%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 23:41
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.80%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.32%E -6.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:56
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-09-15 22:40
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-15 22:45
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-09-15 22:30
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-09-15 23:30
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-09-16 00:05
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-09-15 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%4.5%2026-09-15 22:25