默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros v Kansas City Royals

开赛时间： 2026-09-16 00:11 UTC

最终结果： Houston Astros 4–2 Kansas City Royals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Houston Astros (主队)

预测 59.27%1.69公平赔率

EV -1.02%

优势 -0.610%

Kelly -1.52%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

56.58%59.19%59.30%60.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.531.621.621.6765.36%61.79%61.73%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kansas City Royals (客队)

预测 40.73%2.46公平赔率

EV +0.194%

优势 +0.079%

Kelly +0.133%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.46

博彩公司预测分布

39.24%40.81%40.70%43.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.322.332.4646.51%43.01%42.92%40.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Houston Astros (主队)：59.27%；Kansas City Royals (客队)：40.73%。对于“Kansas City Royals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.455。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.460，对应+0.194%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
GTbets🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.194%E +0.079%K +0.133%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-15 21:20
Everygame🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.213%E -0.087%K -0.147%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-15 11:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.620%E -0.254%K -0.431%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-15 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%EV -0.620%E -0.254%K -0.431%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-15 21:20
BetAnything🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.03%E -0.423%K -0.719%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-15 20:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.61%E -0.970%K -2.44%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-15 23:11
BetUS🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.80%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-15 21:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-15 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.13%E -5.25%K -14.78%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.25%E -0.937%K -1.61%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 05:55
Caesars🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.66%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-15 10:03
1xBet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.02%E -0.610%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.06%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-15 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 23:40
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.47%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 23:40
FanDuel🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 19:10
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-16 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-14 21:50
ReBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-15 22:39
Bovada🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-15 23:35
Fanatics🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 20:05
BetMGM🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 05:55
Betway🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 00:14
888sport🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-14 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-14 21:00
SportsBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 12:15
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.29%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 21:00
Bet Right🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.69%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 22:50
Betsson🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-15 04:30
NordicBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-15 04:30
Coolbet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-15 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 22:35
TAB🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-15 23:35
PlayUp🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 23:35
betfred_uk🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 19:30
Neds🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 19:05
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 22:39
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-15 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-15 13:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.32%E -2.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-15 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
Casumo🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
BetRivers🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
betPARX🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
TABtouch🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.14%E -3.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -7.95%E -3.52%K -6.31%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-15 23:41
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.80%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 23:15
Grosvenor🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.95%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.66%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-15 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.32%E -6.09%K -17.58%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.66%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-09-16 00:00
Bet Victor🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-15 23:56
betano_uk🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.20%E -1.34%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.43%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-15 23:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%	2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%	0.4%	2026-09-15 22:40
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-09-15 22:45
Polymarket◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	0.9%	2026-09-15 22:30
Matchbook◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%	0.9%	2026-09-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%	0.9%	2026-09-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%	0.9%	2026-09-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%	0.9%	2026-09-15 23:30
ProphetX◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%	1.2%	2026-09-16 00:05
Smarkets◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%	2.7%	2026-09-15 23:40
BetOpenly◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:25

Houston Astros v Kansas City Royals

胜负盘

Houston Astros (主队)

Kansas City Royals (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)