Language:English
Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Tigers (Local)
Prediction 47.45%2.11fair odd
EV -0.354%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.321%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.47%47.45%49.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.012.002.1054.35%49.68%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 52.55%1.90fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.83%52.53%52.55%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.821.8657.47%54.98%54.95%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Tigers (Local): 47.45%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 52.55%. For Detroit Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.354%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.828%E -0.396%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.31%E -1.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-16 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-16 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-16 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.56%E -4.92%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 12:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.47%E -3.83%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -12.69%E -6.90%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-16 17:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34% | 10.4% | 2026-04-16 17:48 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 18:10 |