L’École des cotes

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 18:16 UTC

Score final : Detroit Tigers 10–9 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Tigers (Local)

Prévision 47.45%2.11cote équitable
EV -0.354%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.321%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%47.47%47.45%49.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.842.012.002.1054.35%49.68%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.55%1.90cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.83%52.53%52.55%54.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.821.821.8657.47%54.98%54.95%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 17:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:55
Everygame2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.828%E -0.396%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.31%E -1.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 16:30
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 18:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:30
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.56%E -4.92%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:44
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 17:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:54
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 12:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:04
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:35
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:19
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:34
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 12:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:14
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.47%E -3.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:53
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:15
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -12.69%E -6.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 17:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 16:35
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.1%2026-04-16 18:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%10.4%2026-04-16 17:48
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%10.8%2026-04-16 18:10