默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

开赛时间: 2026-04-16 18:16 UTC

最终结果: Detroit Tigers 10–9 Kansas City Royals

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Tigers (主队)

预测 47.45%2.11公平赔率
EV -0.354%
优势 -0.168%
Kelly -0.321%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.74%47.47%47.45%49.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.842.012.002.1054.35%49.68%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kansas City Royals (客队)

预测 52.55%1.90公平赔率
EV -2.26%
优势 -1.21%
Kelly -2.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.86

博彩公司预测分布
50.83%52.53%52.55%54.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.821.821.8657.47%54.98%54.95%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Detroit Tigers (主队):47.45%;Kansas City Royals (客队):52.55%。 对于“Detroit Tigers (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.11。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.10,期望值为-0.354%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:55
Everygame🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.828%E -0.396%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.31%E -1.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 16:30
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.56%E -4.92%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 17:15
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:54
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:04
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:19
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:20
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 12:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.47%E -3.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:53
DraftKings🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:15
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -12.69%E -6.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 17:53
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 16:35
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.1%2026-04-16 18:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%10.4%2026-04-16 17:48
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%10.8%2026-04-16 18:10