La scuola delle quote

Detroit Tigers v Kansas City Royals

Inizio: 2026-04-16 18:16 UTC

Finale: Detroit Tigers 10–9 Kansas City Royals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Tigers (Casa)

Previsione 47.45%2.11quota equa
EV -0.354%
Vantaggio -0.168%
Kelly -0.321%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.74%47.47%47.45%49.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.842.012.002.1054.35%49.68%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.55%1.90quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.83%52.53%52.55%54.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.821.821.8657.47%54.98%54.95%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 17:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.354%E -0.168%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.99%E -3.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:55
Everygame2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.828%E -0.396%K -0.760%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.31%E -1.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 16:30
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.30%E -0.626%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 16:40
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.78%E -0.858%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-16 18:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:30
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.56%E -4.92%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:44
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.78%E -1.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 17:15
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:54
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 12:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:04
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:35
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.15%E -2.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:19
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 12:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:20
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:34
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.89%E -2.70%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 12:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:14
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:35
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 12:20
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.47%E -3.83%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.41%E -3.01%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:53
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.36%E -2.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:15
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.95%E -4.10%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -12.69%E -6.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -6.46%E -3.63%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 17:53
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 16:35
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-16 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-16 18:15
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%2.1%2026-04-16 18:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%10.4%2026-04-16 17:48
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%10.8%2026-04-16 18:10