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Cleveland Guardians v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-18 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 61.81%1.62fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%61.85%61.88%63.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.541.5967.11%64.65%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -0.710%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%38.15%38.12%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.6041.67%39.97%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 61.81%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 38.19%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -0.710%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.710%E -0.273%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-18 00:29
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.24%E -0.874%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 00:04
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.00%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 20:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.00%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 20:34
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.72%E -1.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 20:34
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.86%E -0.722%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-17 20:33
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.34%E -1.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.96%E -1.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.24%E -0.874%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.96%E -1.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 20:34
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 22:44
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.57%E -2.29%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.38%E -1.34%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 23:05
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 23:05
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 20:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.19%E -2.70%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.77%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 20:34
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.81%E -3.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.29%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.710%E -0.273%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 00:35
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.77%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 19:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.67%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:02
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.43%E -3.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 19:58
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.47%E -0.571%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 00:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.05%E -3.98%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.28%E -4.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.28%E -4.86%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -1.86%E -0.722%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.90%E -5.30%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-08-18 01:05
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-08-18 01:05
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-18 01:20
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-18 01:20
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%5.5%2026-08-18 01:05
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%7.3%2026-08-18 01:15

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