Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 8–1 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 63.71%1.57fair odd
EV +0.026%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.046%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%63.61%63.86%65.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.95%66.01%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.575%
Kelly +0.894%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.88%36.39%36.14%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.602.8043.48%38.83%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 63.71%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 36.29%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +1.61%E +0.575%K +0.894%G +0.014%2.4%2026-08-18 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%EV +0.884%E +0.318%K +0.497%G +0.004%1.8%2026-08-18 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.521%E +0.188%K +0.294%G +0.002%3.2%2026-08-18 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV +0.158%E +0.057%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-18 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -1.89%E -1.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV -0.205%E -0.074%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-18 20:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.205%E -0.074%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.568%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.568%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:25
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.931%E -0.341%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 21:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:30
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.38%E -0.886%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.11%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.11%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:34
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 09:55
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 21:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:45
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.56%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.26%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.92%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:14
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 04:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 10:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 10:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 22:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 22:33
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 22:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:38
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.25%E -0.805%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.25%E -0.805%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -11.82%E -4.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.611%E -0.392%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.611%E -0.392%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.53%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 12:40
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-18 22:15
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOpenly1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-08-18 22:35