مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Cleveland Guardians v San Francisco Giants

البداية: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cleveland Guardians 8–1 San Francisco Giants

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Cleveland Guardians (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.71%1.57السعر العادل
EV +0.026%
الأفضلية +0.017%
Kelly +0.046%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.05%63.61%63.86%65.12%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.95%66.01%63.69%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.29%2.76السعر العادل
EV +1.61%
الأفضلية +0.575%
Kelly +0.894%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.88%36.39%36.14%39.95%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.582.602.8043.48%38.83%38.46%35.71%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Cleveland Guardians (المضيف)⁩: ⁨63.71%⁩؛ ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩: ⁨36.29%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.76⁩. عرضت 4 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.80⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.61%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +1.61%E +0.575%K +0.894%G +0.014%2.4%2026-08-18 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%EV +0.884%E +0.318%K +0.497%G +0.004%1.8%2026-08-18 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.521%E +0.188%K +0.294%G +0.002%3.2%2026-08-18 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV +0.158%E +0.057%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-18 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -1.89%E -1.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV -0.205%E -0.074%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-18 20:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.205%E -0.074%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.568%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.568%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:25
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.931%E -0.341%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 21:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:30
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.38%E -0.886%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.11%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.11%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:34
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 09:55
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 21:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:45
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.56%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.26%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.92%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:14
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 04:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 10:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 10:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 22:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 22:33
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 22:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:38
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.25%E -0.805%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.25%E -0.805%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -11.82%E -4.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.611%E -0.392%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.611%E -0.392%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.53%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 12:40
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-18 22:15
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-08-18 22:35