Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 8–1 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 63.71%1.57odd justa
EV +0.026%
Vantagem +0.017%
Kelly +0.046%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.05%63.61%63.86%65.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.95%66.01%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 36.29%2.76odd justa
EV +1.61%
Vantagem +0.575%
Kelly +0.894%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.88%36.39%36.14%39.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.582.602.8043.48%38.83%38.46%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 63.71%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 36.29%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.76. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.61%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +1.61%E +0.575%K +0.894%G +0.014%2.4%2026-08-18 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%EV +0.884%E +0.318%K +0.497%G +0.004%1.8%2026-08-18 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.521%E +0.188%K +0.294%G +0.002%3.2%2026-08-18 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV +0.158%E +0.057%K +0.090%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-18 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%EV -1.89%E -1.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%EV -0.205%E -0.074%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-18 20:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.205%E -0.074%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.568%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%EV -0.568%E -0.207%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:25
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.931%E -0.341%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -1.29%E -0.476%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 21:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.02%E -0.748%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:30
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.38%E -0.886%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.11%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.11%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:34
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 09:55
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 21:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:45
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.83%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.56%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.26%E -5.73%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.92%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:14
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 04:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.16%E -2.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.71%E -3.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 21:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 10:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.80%E -2.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.74%E -2.62%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 10:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 22:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 22:33
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.62%E -5.25%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 22:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.43%E -2.96%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.07%E -3.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.35%E -4.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:38
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.25%E -0.805%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.25%E -0.805%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -11.82%E -4.86%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.026%E +0.017%K +0.046%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.611%E -0.392%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -0.611%E -0.392%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -2.52%E -1.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -16.53%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 12:40
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-08-18 22:15
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-08-18 22:35