Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-18 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 61.84%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.95%61.88%61.88%63.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.541.541.5968.03%64.87%64.94%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 38.16%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.777%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.486%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.70%38.12%38.12%40.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.512.502.6042.55%39.85%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 61.84%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 38.16%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.62. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, con un valor esperado de -0.777%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.777%E -0.299%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-18 00:29
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-18 00:04
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 20:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.07%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 20:34
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.68%E -1.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 20:34
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.92%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-17 20:33
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.30%E -1.45%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.30%E -0.900%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.32%E -4.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 01:54
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 01:35
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 20:34
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 22:44
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.53%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 00:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.45%E -1.36%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 23:05
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 23:05
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 20:34
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 01:39
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 20:34
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.36%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.777%E -0.299%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 00:35
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 01:40
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 01:40
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.83%E -1.52%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 19:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.74%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:02
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 19:58
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.54%E -0.597%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 00:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.01%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -7.86%E -5.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -1.92%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 00:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.86%E -5.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.10%E -6.19%K -19.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.50%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 01:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-08-18 01:40
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-18 01:50
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-18 01:20
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-18 01:20
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-18 01:40
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%5.9%2026-08-18 01:45
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%7.7%2026-08-18 01:45

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