The School of Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-07-18 17:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 54.02%1.85fair odd
EV +0.474%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.552%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.96%53.95%54.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.771.8658%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 45.98%2.17fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.991%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.04%46.05%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.062.052.1551%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV +0.474%E +0.255%K +0.552%G +0.003%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -4.82%E -2.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 23:34
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -1.69%E -0.927%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -6.20%E -3.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:35
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -2.23%E -1.23%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:34
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.14%E -0.530%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 02:00
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.06%E -0.967%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.06%E -0.967%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 02:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 01:15
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.12%E -3.52%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 23:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 23:34
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.77%E -1.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.31%E -1.85%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 02:13
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 01:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 01:40
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.82%E -2.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:10
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:45
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.85%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 02:44
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:35
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 01:30
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:40
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:40
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:40
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:40
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:35
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:35
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:40
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.39%E -2.48%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 01:40
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.93%E -2.80%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.90%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.93%E -2.80%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 02:10
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.93%E -2.80%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 01:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 01:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 02:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 01:45
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 02:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 01:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 01:45
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.47%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.20%E -3.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 02:15
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.01%E -3.45%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 01:40
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.01%E -3.45%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 02:10
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.01%E -3.45%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.12%E -3.52%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 01:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.55%E -3.79%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 02:30
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.09%E -4.12%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.96%E -4.52%K -9.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-07-18 02:45
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-18 02:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%3.6%2026-07-18 02:35
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%9.8%2026-07-18 02:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%11.3%2026-07-18 02:45