Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 54.28%1.84fair odd
EV -0.659%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.794%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.15%54.26%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.63%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 45.72%2.19fair odd
EV +0.574%
Edge +0.261%
Kelly +0.478%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%45.85%45.74%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.092.2051.28%48.17%47.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.28%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 45.72%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.574%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.574%E +0.261%K +0.478%G +0.003% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.17%E -4.20%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.340%E -0.156%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 17:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.797%E -0.367%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.25%E -0.581%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.45%E -2.13%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.63%E -3.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.48%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 16:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |