La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 54.28%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.659%
Ventaja -0.360%
Kelly -0.794%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%54.15%54.26%56.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.63%56.50%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 45.72%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.574%
Ventaja +0.261%
Kelly +0.478%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.96%45.85%45.74%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.092.2051.28%48.17%47.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.574%E +0.261%K +0.478%G +0.003% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.17%E -4.20%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.340%E -0.156%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 17:04 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.797%E -0.367%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.25%E -0.581%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 15:50 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 15:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:24 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 15:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.45%E -2.13%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.63%E -3.86%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.48%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 16:58 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-18 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-18 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-07-18 17:10 |